tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 16:54, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Orlando on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:50DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 3h 46m Salt Lake City SLC 23:36 → MCO 06:00 +1DL 2069 10h 06m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 1h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → MCO 23:55DL 2056 8h 20m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582 1h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 11:22 → MCO 17:42DL 1691 7h 42m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 1h 36m Denver DEN 17:52 → MCO 23:41UA 259 7h 53m 93% 79%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 17:34 → SEA 20:14AS 537 2h 33m Seattle SEA 22:47 → MCO 07:10 +1AS 1371 10h 36m 96% 79%
AmericanDetails → BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599 1h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:24 → MCO 17:09AA 1692 7h 08m 92% 70%
AmericanDetails → BUR 12:33 → DFW 17:55AA 1208 1h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:18 → MCO 23:14AA 1336 7h 41m 84% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON