tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1080 Southwest BWI 12:19 CVG 13:54 6% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 925 Southwest BWI 20:07 CVG 21:38 7% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 5h 45m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → BWI 09:00 → BOS 10:38DL 5703 · flown by Republic 3h 34m Boston BOS 14:12 → CVG 16:45DL 5789 · flown by Republic 7h 45m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:21 → BOS 08:00DL 5813 · flown by Republic 3h 40m Boston BOS 11:40 → CVG 14:07DL 5598 · flown by Republic 7h 46m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → BWI 07:00 → ATL 08:52DL 2579 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149 5h 28m 99% 92%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:32 → BNA 07:19WN 879 3h 10m Nashville BNA 10:29 → CVG 12:40WN 2441 6h 08m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → CVG 15:11DL 3169 6h 54m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → BWI 11:30 → ORD 12:46AA 3762 · flown by Envoy 3h 42m Chicago ORD 16:28 → CVG 18:52AA 4507 · flown by Republic 7h 22m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592 2h 51m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 6h 08m 99% 91%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON