tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 835 Southwest BWI 08:44 GSP 10:16 7% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 1693 Southwest BWI 17:54 GSP 19:25 15% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:32 → BNA 07:19WN 879 2h 53m Nashville BNA 10:12 → GSP 12:24WN 771 5h 52m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → GSP 10:57DL 2158 5h 17m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BWI 07:00 → ATL 08:52DL 2579 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 11:16 → GSP 12:14DL 1725 5h 14m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → GSP 15:00DL 3010 6h 43m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → BWI 05:02 → CLT 06:26AA 1708 50m Charlotte CLT 07:16 → GSP 08:18AA 5798 · flown by Piedmont 3h 16m 94% 89%
AmericanDetails → BWI 08:08 → CLT 09:35AA 2670 1h 32m Charlotte CLT 11:07 → GSP 12:14AA 5802 · flown by Piedmont 4h 06m 95% 88%
DeltaDetails → BWI 17:00 → ATL 19:08DL 2799 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 21:55 → GSP 22:55DL 2281 5h 55m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → BWI 14:08 → ATL 16:05DL 2711 3h 34m Atlanta ATL 19:39 → GSP 20:39DL 3136 6h 31m 98% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON