tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 410 Southwest BWI 11:12 MKE 12:09 5% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 516 Southwest BWI 19:56 MKE 20:55 9% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Baltimore). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 7h 13m 100% 94%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:32 → BNA 07:19WN 879 56m Nashville BNA 08:15 → MKE 09:52WN 1086 4h 20m 96% 93%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:21 → BOS 08:00DL 5813 · flown by Republic 1h 10m Boston BOS 09:10 → MKE 10:54DL 5614 · flown by Republic 5h 33m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 6h 33m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:20 → MSP 07:54DL 2872 2h 11m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 5h 57m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206 6h 58m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:08 → DTW 07:39DL 2601 56m Detroit DTW 08:35 → MKE 08:52DL 3102 3h 44m 97% 90%
DeltaDetails → BWI 13:45 → BOS 15:23DL 5668 · flown by Republic 1h 02m Boston BOS 16:25 → MKE 18:17DL 5619 · flown by Republic 5h 32m 96% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 17:32 → ORD 18:55UA 590 50m Chicago ORD 19:45 → MKE 20:56UA 4711 · flown by SkyWest 4h 24m 74% 61%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON