tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 677 Southwest BWI 08:24 SAT 10:44 6% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1078 Southwest BWI 15:28 SAT 17:49 10% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Baltimore). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BWI 07:00 → ATL 08:52DL 2579 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 38m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:30 → DEN 10:25UA 2412 3h 19m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 9h 25m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → BWI 05:52 → IAH 07:55UA 1898 1h 43m Houston IAH 09:38 → SAT 10:54UA 1371 6h 02m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → BWI 11:30 → ORD 12:46AA 3762 · flown by Envoy 2h 17m Chicago ORD 15:03 → SAT 18:03AA 4176 · flown by Envoy 7h 33m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009 7h 53m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:20 → MSP 07:54DL 2872 1h 06m Minneapolis MSP 09:00 → SAT 11:49DL 2667 6h 29m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:16 → ORD 09:30UA 2749 4h 00m Chicago ORD 13:30 → SAT 16:29UA 2844 9h 13m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:35 → MSP 13:11DL 2357 1h 09m Minneapolis MSP 14:20 → SAT 17:11DL 2580 6h 36m 98% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON