Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 3513 Southwest	BWI 08:14	SAV 10:08	5%	1%	0.7%	no record
WN 3965 Southwest	BWI 17:42	SAV 19:26	12%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	BWI 06:32 → BNA 07:19WN 879	2h 52m Nashville	BNA 10:11 → SAV 12:40WN 3929	6h 08m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	BWI 17:00 → ATL 19:08DL 2799	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	6h 53m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054	4h 47m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067	6h 21m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	BWI 06:08 → DTW 07:39DL 2601	1h 06m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → SAV 10:52DL 1119	4h 44m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	5h 41m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BWI 11:52 → ATL 13:41DL 801	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	6h 10m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	BWI 14:08 → ATL 16:05DL 2711	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527	4h 51m	95%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON