Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 11:35, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 1176 Delta Flight history →	BWI 07:15	SLC 09:50	7%	2%	0.7%	81%
WN 1313 Southwest	BWI 09:44	SLC 12:24	9%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Baltimore). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 30m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	BWI 07:00 → ATL 08:52DL 2579	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 50m	100%	91%
United Details →	BWI 05:52 → IAH 07:55UA 1898	2h 00m Houston	IAH 09:55 → SLC 12:23UA 2242	8h 31m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	9h 34m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	BWI 11:35 → MSP 13:11DL 2357	1h 14m Minneapolis	MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658	6h 41m	96%	88%
American Details →	BWI 05:02 → CLT 06:26AA 1708	3h 48m Charlotte	CLT 10:14 → SLC 12:35AA 1895	9h 33m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	8h 45m	99%	87%
United Details →	BWI 16:23 → DEN 18:18UA 2012	2h 47m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	8h 21m	97%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON