Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day


UA 4607 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	CAE 11:18	EWR 13:29	5%	3%	3.2%	95%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Newark on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CAE 05:35 → ATL 06:40DL 3038	1h 38m Atlanta	ATL 08:18 → EWR 10:29DL 2397	4h 54m	97%	91%
Delta Details →	CAE 06:53 → ATL 08:09DL 3061	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → EWR 12:21DL 2401	5h 28m	98%	90%
United Details →	CAE 06:25 → ORD 07:52UA 4496 · flown by GoJet	2h 59m Chicago	ORD 10:51 → EWR 14:17UA 1856	7h 52m	97%	84%
United Details →	CAE 17:47 → ORD 19:05UA 4783 · flown by SkyWest	2h 25m Chicago	ORD 21:30 → EWR 00:53 +1UA 1209	7h 06m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	CAE 11:58 → ATL 13:10DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:33 → EWR 17:53DL 2340	5h 55m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	CAE 18:23 → ATL 19:40DL 3032	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 21:42 → EWR 23:54DL 2527	5h 31m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	CAE 13:47 → ATL 14:56DL 2944	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 18:35 → EWR 20:54DL 2498	7h 07m	100%	79%
United Details →	CAE 11:03 → ORD 12:25UA 4189 · flown by GoJet	2h 54m Chicago	ORD 15:19 → EWR 18:32UA 1236	7h 29m	100%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON