tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1122 Southwest CHS 06:49 BNA 07:25 2% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 522 Southwest CHS 19:21 BNA 19:57 10% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 5h 59m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124 3h 56m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 6h 15m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:29 → ATL 10:52DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 5h 34m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333 1h 20m Chicago ORD 08:53 → BNA 10:38UA 1674 5h 38m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → EWR 07:59UA 1289 2h 50m Newark EWR 10:49 → BNA 12:21UA 2776 7h 21m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → CHS 18:28 → ATL 19:46DL 2174 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121 5h 47m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHS 07:08 → DTW 09:16DL 5092 · flown by Endeavor 3h 09m Detroit DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557 6h 55m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → CHS 14:27 → ATL 15:43DL 2179 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490 6h 11m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON