Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 568 JetBlue	CHS 12:41	BOS 15:10	12%	5%	0.7%	no record
DL 2785 Delta Flight history →	CHS 15:35	BOS 18:04	14%	6%	0.6%	67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → BOS 11:06DL 2432	5h 56m	99%	93%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855	6h 30m	99%	92%
United Details →	CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333	1h 52m Chicago	ORD 09:25 → BOS 12:57UA 1367	6h 57m	99%	90%
United Details →	CHS 06:00 → EWR 07:59UA 1289	4h 00m Newark	EWR 11:59 → BOS 13:16UA 1669	7h 16m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:41 → ATL 11:00DL 5450 · flown by Endeavor	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → BOS 16:45DL 726	7h 04m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 18:28 → ATL 19:46DL 2174	2h 54m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → BOS 01:20 +1DL 865	6h 52m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 17:00 → ATL 18:19DL 1381	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 20:50 → BOS 23:36DL 300	6h 36m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:00 → JFK 08:01DL 5445 · flown by Endeavor	1h 49m New York	JFK 09:50 → BOS 11:15DL 5733 · flown by Republic	5h 15m	95%	90%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON