tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:15, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2026 Southwest CHS 13:19 DEN 14:54 13% 2% 0.6% no record
UA 557 United Flight history → CHS 16:10 DEN 18:08 13% 3% 0.6% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 55m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 7h 40m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:29 → ATL 10:52DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530 7h 29m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHS 07:08 → DTW 09:16DL 5092 · flown by Endeavor 3h 26m Detroit DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648 8h 37m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333 3h 36m Chicago ORD 11:09 → DEN 12:53UA 2857 8h 53m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124 47m Atlanta ATL 08:12 → DEN 09:36DL 346 5h 21m 95% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHS 17:35 → MSP 19:35DL 2463 2h 40m Minneapolis MSP 22:15 → DEN 23:27DL 1705 7h 52m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHS 14:27 → ATL 15:43DL 2179 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746 8h 16m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON