tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5092 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → CHS 07:08 DTW 09:16 5% 2% 0.9% 88%
9E 4964 Endeavor CHS 12:56 DTW 15:01 6% 2% 1.0% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 08:33 → DTW 10:34DL 643 5h 24m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 41m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:29 → ATL 10:52DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031 6h 13m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CHS 07:03 → LGA 09:03DL 5093 · flown by Endeavor 3h 52m New York LGA 12:55 → DTW 14:51DL 1122 7h 48m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → CHS 18:28 → ATL 19:46DL 2174 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → DTW 00:59 +1DL 2940 6h 31m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333 3h 17m Chicago ORD 10:50 → DTW 13:27UA 5756 · flown by SkyWest 7h 27m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CHS 11:18 → ATL 12:27DL 3091 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:27DL 1005 6h 09m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CHS 13:05 → ATL 14:20DL 3107 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478 7h 08m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON