tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:10, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 69% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094 4h 49m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 08m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → CHS 07:44 → ATL 09:03DL 789 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 43m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHS 06:58 → LGA 08:54DL 5093 · flown by Endeavor 2h 01m New York LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181 6h 56m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → CHS 06:31 → JFK 08:26DL 5445 · flown by Endeavor 2h 48m New York JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305 7h 53m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:57 → EWR 08:58UA 1289 3h 01m Newark EWR 11:59 → FLL 15:15UA 2759 8h 18m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:29 → ATL 10:51DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413 6h 12m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → CHS 17:39 → ATL 18:56DL 2174 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 7h 00m 99% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → CHS 15:06 → EWR 17:04UA 2693 55m Newark EWR 17:59 → FLL 21:09UA 2096 6h 03m 69% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON