tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1155 United CHS 06:51 IAH 08:27 7% 2% 0.6% no record
UA 6329 United flown by Mesa Flight history → CHS 17:10 IAH 19:07 13% 4% 1.3% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055 3h 48m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 7h 04m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333 3h 13m Chicago ORD 10:46 → IAH 13:36UA 2767 8h 36m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → CHS 18:28 → ATL 19:46DL 2174 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → IAH 23:57DL 1601 6h 29m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → CHS 06:47 → DFW 08:27AA 1435 1h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:11 → IAH 11:26AA 3829 · flown by Envoy 5h 39m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → EWR 07:59UA 1289 2h 54m Newark EWR 10:53 → IAH 13:38UA 556 8h 38m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:29 → ATL 10:52DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 14:45 → IAH 15:51DL 1223 7h 22m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 6h 13m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → CHS 14:27 → ATL 15:43DL 2179 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 18:31 → IAH 19:39DL 2327 6h 12m 99% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON