Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 17:35, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	CHS 17:35	MSP 19:35	11%	3%	0.6%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	6h 08m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 15m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	CHS 05:58 → JFK 08:02DL 5445 · flown by Endeavor	3h 33m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	8h 52m	99%	90%
United Details →	CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333	1h 11m Chicago	ORD 08:44 → MSP 10:30UA 2805	5h 30m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 07:08 → DTW 09:16DL 5092 · flown by Endeavor	2h 13m Detroit	DTW 11:29 → MSP 12:18DL 1746	6h 10m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:29 → ATL 10:52DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825	7h 38m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 07:03 → LGA 09:03DL 5093 · flown by Endeavor	2h 07m New York	LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409	7h 07m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 30m	98%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON