Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2518 at 05:50, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2518 Delta Flight history →	CID 05:50	ATL 08:52	7%	2%	0.8%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 06:33 → MSP 07:46DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 46m Minneapolis	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	6h 31m	98%	92%
Delta Details →	CID 12:04 → MSP 13:17DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	3h 26m Minneapolis	MSP 16:43 → ATL 20:14DL 2021	7h 10m	99%	90%
American Details →	CID 05:06 → ORD 06:21AA 3430 · flown by Envoy	1h 59m Chicago	ORD 08:20 → ATL 11:33AA 851	5h 27m	98%	89%
United Details →	CID 08:50 → DEN 10:04UA 1500	3h 22m Denver	DEN 13:26 → ATL 18:30UA 1671	8h 40m	98%	85%
American Details →	CID 04:54 → DFW 07:07AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	3h 56m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:03 → ATL 14:21AA 3104	8h 27m	98%	85%
American Details →	CID 12:30 → DFW 14:43AA 4297 · flown by Envoy	2h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:07 → ATL 20:35AA 2403	7h 05m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	CID 16:14 → MSP 17:27DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	1h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 18:37 → ATL 22:28DL 1026	5h 14m	90%	81%
United Details →	CID 15:16 → DEN 16:30UA 514	1h 18m Denver	DEN 17:48 → ATL 22:57UA 1305	6h 41m	92%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON