Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, AA 1039 at 10:01, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 1039 American Flight history →	CID 10:01	CLT 13:15	11%	4%	0.9%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 05:50 → ATL 08:52DL 2518	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	6h 41m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	CID 06:33 → MSP 07:46DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 44m Minneapolis	MSP 10:30 → CLT 13:57DL 2819	6h 24m	98%	91%
American Details →	CID 05:06 → ORD 06:21AA 3430 · flown by Envoy	1h 48m Chicago	ORD 08:09 → CLT 11:20AA 411	5h 14m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	CID 16:14 → MSP 17:27DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	2h 47m Minneapolis	MSP 20:14 → CLT 23:44DL 2929	6h 30m	99%	88%
American Details →	CID 04:54 → DFW 07:07AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	2h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:02 → CLT 13:49AA 2493	7h 55m	98%	87%
American Details →	CID 12:30 → DFW 14:43AA 4297 · flown by Envoy	1h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:03 → CLT 19:47AA 2013	6h 17m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	CID 12:04 → MSP 13:17DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	1h 13m Minneapolis	MSP 14:30 → CLT 18:02DL 2820	4h 58m	93%	84%
American Details →	CID 07:03 → PHX 08:34AA 4983 · flown by SkyWest	1h 23m Phoenix	PHX 09:57 → CLT 17:15AA 665	9h 12m	95%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON