tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 10:15, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Fort Myers on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
F9 2338 Frontier Flight history → CLE 10:58 RSW 14:04 18% 5% 2.1% 89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:00 → IAD 07:15UA 1252 1h 00m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 4h 53m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → CLE 07:00 → ORD 07:36UA 490 3h 29m Chicago ORD 11:05 → RSW 15:07UA 2137 8h 07m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → CLE 08:05 → ATL 09:55DL 349 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 30m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → CLE 05:35 → ATL 07:22DL 2734 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 36m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → CLE 07:15 → EWR 08:47UA 601 3h 17m Newark EWR 12:04 → RSW 15:19UA 1810 8h 04m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → CLE 06:00 → MSP 07:02DL 1357 2h 03m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 7h 27m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → CLE 05:52 → IAH 07:48UA 1645 1h 45m Houston IAH 09:33 → RSW 13:11UA 494 7h 19m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → CLE 06:00 → PHL 07:45AA 3302 1h 27m Philadelphia PHL 09:12 → RSW 12:12AA 2365 6h 12m 98% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON