tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1874 American CLT 10:41 BGR 13:20 8% 2% 0.6% no record
AA 1411 American Flight history → CLT 13:57 BGR 16:34 10% 3% 0.6% 89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → CLT 07:15 → LGA 09:12AA 2036 3h 00m New York LGA 12:12 → BGR 13:58AA 4488 · flown by Republic 6h 43m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → CLT 05:55 → PHL 07:39AA 1838 1h 16m Philadelphia PHL 08:55 → BGR 10:51AA 6123 · flown by Piedmont 4h 56m 96% 86%
AmericanDetails → CLT 11:00 → PHL 12:43AA 2498 1h 13m Philadelphia PHL 13:56 → BGR 15:46AA 2142 4h 46m 94% 81%
DeltaDetails → CLT 10:01 → JFK 11:59DL 5052 · flown by Endeavor 1h 50m New York JFK 13:49 → BGR 15:42DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor 5h 41m 93% 73%
AmericanDetails → CLT 16:46 → PHL 18:35AA 864 3h 15m Philadelphia PHL 21:50 → BGR 23:45AA 6093 · flown by Piedmont 6h 59m 95% 64%
DeltaDetails → CLT 09:36 → LGA 11:32DL 5068 · flown by Endeavor 3h 05m New York LGA 14:37 → BGR 16:21DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor 6h 44m 96% 62%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CLT 11:50 → LGA 13:50DL 5051 · flown by Endeavor 47m New York LGA 14:37 → BGR 16:21DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor 4h 30m 59% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON