Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AA 3127 at 18:08, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 3127 American	CLT 18:08	CID 19:32	19%	5%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 06:20 → MSP 07:59DL 2491	2h 36m Minneapolis	MSP 10:35 → CID 11:47DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	6h 27m	98%	90%
American Details →	CLT 18:26 → ORD 19:51AA 2488	3h 05m Chicago	ORD 22:56 → CID 00:07 +1AA 4231 · flown by Envoy	6h 41m	97%	88%
American Details →	CLT 11:02 → DFW 12:47AA 2747	3h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:07 → CID 18:21AA 4318 · flown by Envoy	8h 19m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 18:58 → MSP 20:47DL 2820	1h 25m Minneapolis	MSP 22:12 → CID 23:24DL 5290 · flown by Endeavor	5h 26m	92%	84%
American Details →	CLT 15:04 → DFW 16:58AA 1709	1h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:29 → CID 20:38AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	6h 34m	96%	82%
American Details →	CLT 18:05 → DFW 19:51AA 2815	1h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:01 → CID 23:11AA 4235 · flown by Envoy	6h 06m	87%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON