Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 1384 American	CLT 11:56	GRR 13:52	11%	3%	0.7%	no record
AA 676 American Flight history →	CLT 19:06	GRR 21:04	18%	5%	0.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Grand Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 09:49 → GRR 11:43DL 2547	6h 13m	99%	94%
United Details →	CLT 06:44 → ORD 07:42UA 1304	3h 05m Chicago	ORD 10:47 → GRR 13:00UA 1297	6h 16m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	CLT 09:42 → DTW 11:30DL 1639	1h 22m Detroit	DTW 12:52 → GRR 13:52DL 5390 · flown by Endeavor	4h 10m	97%	92%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:19 → GRR 17:14DL 2058	4h 55m	98%	89%
American Details →	CLT 14:02 → ORD 14:01AA 2530	3h 09m Chicago	ORD 17:10 → GRR 19:20AA 4729 · flown by Republic	5h 18m	97%	88%
American Details →	CLT 18:26 → ORD 19:51AA 2488	2h 39m Chicago	ORD 22:30 → GRR 00:34 +1AA 3793 · flown by Envoy	6h 08m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → DTW 07:42DL 1405	1h 08m Detroit	DTW 08:50 → GRR 09:54DL 3500 · flown by SkyWest	3h 54m	96%	86%
American Details →	CLT 07:15 → LGA 09:11AA 2036	1h 04m New York	LGA 10:15 → GRR 12:24AA 4775 · flown by Republic	5h 09m	93%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON