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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 18:10, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Ontario on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Ontario on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLT 18:10 → SLC 20:29DL 2070 2h 30m Salt Lake City SLC 22:59 → ONT 23:48DL 1614 8h 38m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 09:21 → ONT 10:38DL 665 8h 08m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → CLT 07:19 → DFW 09:04AA 1005 3h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:08 → ONT 13:32AA 2635 9h 13m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180 3h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:42 → ONT 12:01AA 2956 9h 16m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → CLT 07:41 → PHX 09:05AA 1678 1h 44m Phoenix PHX 10:49 → ONT 12:20AA 2661 7h 39m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963 58m Denver DEN 11:25 → ONT 12:47UA 430 7h 07m 93% 84%
UnitedDetails → CLT 15:10 → ORD 16:35UA 3491 · flown by Republic 3h 43m Chicago ORD 20:18 → ONT 22:51UA 658 10h 41m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → CLT 14:16 → ATL 15:31DL 2157 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 19:01 → ONT 20:49DL 2891 9h 33m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON