Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via O'Hare, leaving 06:44, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Portland on time.

Nonstops that day


AA 3023 American	CLT 15:29	PDX 18:06	19%	4%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 06:20 → MSP 07:59DL 2491	2h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 10:58 → PDX 12:39DL 1661	9h 19m	98%	93%
United Details →	CLT 06:44 → ORD 07:42UA 1304	1h 26m Chicago	ORD 09:08 → PDX 11:43UA 751	7h 59m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	1h 49m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → PDX 10:27DL 539	7h 57m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 16:52 → PDX 18:56DL 503	9h 37m	100%	91%
United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	3h 00m Denver	DEN 13:27 → PDX 15:13UA 2455	9h 33m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CLT 18:10 → SLC 20:29DL 2070	2h 21m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:50 → PDX 23:44DL 1373	8h 34m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → PDX 12:58DL 2206	7h 57m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → DTW 07:42DL 1405	1h 12m Detroit	DTW 08:54 → PDX 10:36DL 2171	7h 36m	97%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON