Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OH 5303 PSA	CLT 11:00	SHV 12:15	11%	3%	0.7%	no record
AA 6412 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	CLT 21:46	SHV 22:57	15%	4%	0.7%	58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	56m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:31 → SHV 09:47AA 4009 · flown by Envoy	5h 02m	94%	88%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:16 → ATL 15:31DL 2157	3h 34m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest	6h 36m	99%	87%
American Details →	CLT 15:04 → DFW 16:58AA 1709	2h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:10 → SHV 20:19AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest	6h 15m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → SHV 12:11DL 3507 · flown by SkyWest	5h 10m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:41 → SHV 16:34DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest	5h 15m	99%	85%
American Details →	CLT 18:05 → DFW 19:51AA 2815	1h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:33 → SHV 22:42AA 4902 · flown by SkyWest	5h 37m	92%	83%
United Details →	CLT 11:52 → IAH 13:44UA 6236 · flown by Mesa	2h 26m Houston	IAH 16:10 → SHV 17:21UA 6026 · flown by SkyWest	6h 29m	96%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON