Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 3 nonstops

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 3 nonstops are 5–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Safest bet that day DL 70 CLT 09:29 → SLC 11:36 · 5% chance 15+ min late Riskiest DL 2070 CLT 18:10 → SLC 20:29 · 11% chance 15+ min late · usually 85% on time

Against a calm day 8% average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 10% for the same flights on a calm-weather day

Every nonstop on Wed, Oct 7

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.


DL 70 Delta	CLT 09:29	SLC 11:36	5%	2%	0.6%	no record
AA 1895 American	CLT 10:14	SLC 12:35	9%	3%	0.6%	no record
DL 2070 Delta Flight history →	CLT 18:10	SLC 20:29	11%	3%	0.6%	85%

Alternatives with one stop that day

All connections →


Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	55m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	6h 09m	93%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON