Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 2657 American	CLT 12:34	TUL 14:17	9%	3%	0.6%	no record
AA 2662 American Flight history →	CLT 18:25	TUL 19:58	14%	4%	0.6%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CLT 11:48 → IAH 13:34UA 6236 · flown by Mesa	2h 56m Houston	IAH 16:30 → TUL 18:08UA 6171 · flown by Mesa	7h 20m	99%	98%
Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 08:20 → TUL 09:18DL 2754	4h 48m	99%	93%
United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	3h 13m Denver	DEN 13:40 → TUL 16:29UA 5311 · flown by SkyWest	8h 49m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → TUL 11:56DL 2620	4h 55m	96%	89%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 17:01 → TUL 18:04DL 2837	6h 45m	100%	88%
American Details →	CLT 18:26 → ORD 19:51AA 2488	2h 14m Chicago	ORD 22:05 → TUL 00:06 +1AA 4281 · flown by Envoy	6h 40m	94%	86%
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	1h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:44 → TUL 10:06AA 2348	5h 21m	97%	85%
American Details →	CLT 07:19 → DFW 09:04AA 1005	1h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:45 → TUL 12:07AA 2352	5h 48m	100%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON