Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 4563 Southwest	CMH 13:36	AUS 15:21	7%	2%	0.5%	no record
DL 4028 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	CMH 13:58	AUS 16:09	9%	3%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Columbus). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic	2h 52m Chicago	ORD 09:01 → AUS 11:59UA 1688	7h 29m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → AUS 12:25DL 2011	7h 25m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	CMH 07:05 → ATL 08:42DL 2909	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 12:33 → AUS 13:54DL 2104	7h 49m	99%	91%
United Details →	CMH 09:00 → ORD 09:36UA 466	2h 11m Chicago	ORD 11:47 → AUS 14:41UA 1061	6h 41m	98%	91%
United Details →	CMH 05:59 → IAD 07:31UA 3430 · flown by Republic	59m Dulles	IAD 08:30 → AUS 10:56UA 637	5h 57m	97%	91%
Delta Details →	CMH 10:00 → ATL 11:35DL 1479	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 14:15 → AUS 15:50DL 1397	6h 50m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CMH 06:40 → DTW 07:50DL 5701 · flown by Republic	1h 14m Detroit	DTW 09:04 → AUS 10:59DL 1218	5h 19m	98%	90%
United Details →	CMH 11:03 → ORD 11:39UA 622	2h 03m Chicago	ORD 13:42 → AUS 16:33UA 1211	6h 30m	99%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON