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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: American via Charlotte, leaving 06:09, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → CMH 06:09 → CLT 07:39AA 3206 3h 16m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:09AA 2585 7h 00m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469 1h 31m Atlanta ATL 09:06 → FLL 11:03DL 1271 5h 03m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → CMH 06:00 → LGA 07:49DL 5700 · flown by Republic 3h 06m New York LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181 7h 54m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic 51m Chicago ORD 07:00 → FLL 11:13UA 1421 5h 43m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → CMH 07:05 → ATL 08:42DL 2909 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 22m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:40 → EWR 08:33UA 3458 · flown by Republic 3h 25m Newark EWR 11:58 → FLL 15:14UA 2759 8h 34m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:59 → IAD 07:31UA 3430 · flown by Republic 50m Dulles IAD 08:21 → FLL 11:12UA 1825 5h 13m 95% 86%
DeltaDetails → CMH 08:11 → ATL 09:45DL 3165 1h 40m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 5h 09m 97% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON