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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 10:53, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Los Angeles on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 53% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 354 United Flight history → CMH 07:45 LAX 09:35 11% 3% 0.6% 81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Columbus). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CMH 08:15 → DTW 09:22DL 5812 · flown by Republic 3h 28m Detroit DTW 12:50 → LAX 14:35DL 634 9h 20m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → CMH 07:05 → ATL 08:42DL 2909 3h 58m Atlanta ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895 10h 07m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → CMH 10:00 → ATL 11:35DL 1479 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 14:45 → LAX 16:17DL 753 9h 17m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → CMH 10:53 → MSP 11:55DL 2772 1h 14m Minneapolis MSP 13:09 → LAX 15:08DL 2974 7h 15m 97% 92%
AmericanDetails → CMH 08:05 → PHL 09:45AA 4711 · flown by Republic 3h 31m Philadelphia PHL 13:16 → LAX 16:02AA 2944 10h 57m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → CMH 05:45 → PHL 07:29AA 2867 3h 31m Philadelphia PHL 11:00 → LAX 13:46AA 2408 11h 01m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → CMH 06:00 → BOS 08:06AA 4642 · flown by Republic 2h 29m Boston BOS 10:35 → LAX 13:59AA 2141 10h 59m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469 1h 40m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → LAX 10:45DL 827 7h 45m 99% 90%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:00 → IAD 07:23UA 4428 · flown by GoJet 1h 03m Dulles IAD 08:26 → LAX 10:59UA 1734 7h 59m 74% 65%
UnitedDetails → CMH 17:01 → IAH 19:04UA 4074 · flown by Mesa 46m Houston IAH 19:50 → LAX 21:26UA 483 7h 25m 64% 56%
AlaskaDetails → CMH 07:00 → SEA 09:07AS 283 48m Seattle SEA 09:55 → LAX 12:23AS 1306 8h 23m 53% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON