Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 3453 at 13:35, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3453 Southwest	CMH 13:35	RSW 16:16	16%	5%	1.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic	56m Chicago	ORD 07:05 → RSW 11:14UA 1740	5h 44m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	CMH 06:00 → LGA 07:49DL 5700 · flown by Republic	2h 31m New York	LGA 10:20 → RSW 13:26DL 379	7h 26m	99%	85%
United Details →	CMH 07:21 → ORD 07:41UA 466	1h 42m Chicago	ORD 09:23 → RSW 13:19UA 1036	5h 58m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 11m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	CMH 08:11 → ATL 09:45DL 3165	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	6h 24m	99%	82%
American Details →	CMH 08:48 → CLT 10:19AA 3217	1h 40m Charlotte	CLT 11:59 → RSW 14:08AA 2018	5h 20m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	CMH 17:07 → ATL 18:44DL 2892	3h 56m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	7h 16m	100%	82%
United Details →	CMH 08:07 → EWR 10:11UA 3457 · flown by Republic	1h 54m Newark	EWR 12:05 → RSW 15:20UA 1810	7h 13m	99%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON