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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2142 at 07:31, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2142 Delta Flight history → CMH 07:31 SLC 09:21 5% 2% 0.6% 90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Columbus). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 8h 10m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → CMH 07:05 → ATL 08:42DL 2909 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 8h 45m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic 2h 46m Chicago ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972 8h 09m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CMH 08:15 → DTW 09:22DL 5812 · flown by Republic 2h 58m Detroit DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935 7h 56m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CMH 10:00 → ATL 11:35DL 1479 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526 9h 18m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CMH 12:48 → ATL 14:26DL 1522 3h 34m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653 9h 14m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → CMH 10:53 → MSP 11:55DL 2772 2h 30m Minneapolis MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658 7h 23m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → CMH 06:09 → CLT 07:39AA 3206 2h 35m Charlotte CLT 10:14 → SLC 12:35AA 1895 8h 26m 100% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON