tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 5325 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → COS 07:54 IAH 11:29 11% 4% 0.7% 88%
YV 3993 Mesa COS 12:21 IAH 15:42 16% 4% 1.3% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → COS 06:00 → ATL 10:54DL 1074 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 14:45 → IAH 15:51DL 1223 8h 51m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → COS 07:05 → DEN 08:10UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest 3h 24m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 04m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → COS 06:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5291 · flown by SkyWest 2h 59m Denver DEN 10:04 → IAH 13:24UA 2030 6h 24m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → COS 13:40 → ATL 18:44DL 2427 1h 29m Atlanta ATL 20:13 → IAH 21:24DL 1284 6h 44m 94% 83%
UnitedDetails → COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest 2h 57m Denver DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829 6h 44m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → COS 11:31 → DEN 12:45UA 4675 · flown by SkyWest 3h 35m Denver DEN 16:20 → IAH 19:57UA 588 7h 26m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → COS 10:23 → DEN 11:38UA 5400 · flown by SkyWest 3h 57m Denver DEN 15:35 → IAH 19:10UA 489 7h 47m 100% 82%
UnitedDetails → COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 2h 08m Denver DEN 20:28 → IAH 23:59UA 2419 5h 52m 96% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON