tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1355 Southwest COS 10:01 LAS 10:57 5% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 3863 Southwest COS 17:24 LAS 18:18 9% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Las Vegas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 1 h behind Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → COS 06:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5291 · flown by SkyWest 2h 39m Denver DEN 09:44 → LAS 10:48UA 1767 5h 48m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → COS 07:05 → DEN 08:10UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest 3h 12m Denver DEN 11:22 → LAS 12:24UA 526 6h 19m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest 2h 59m Denver DEN 13:32 → LAS 14:41UA 493 6h 21m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → COS 18:16 → SLC 20:09DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 3h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → LAS 23:40DL 1662 6h 24m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → COS 11:31 → DEN 12:45UA 4675 · flown by SkyWest 3h 21m Denver DEN 16:06 → LAS 17:14UA 2424 6h 43m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 2h 31m Denver DEN 20:51 → LAS 21:46UA 624 5h 39m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → COS 10:19 → DFW 13:13AA 1552 2h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:20 → LAS 16:25AA 1573 7h 06m 94% 78%
AmericanDetails → COS 08:01 → DFW 10:56AA 782 1h 22m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:18 → LAS 13:06AA 777 6h 05m 94% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON