tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1200 Southwest COS 06:51 PHX 07:43 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1202 Southwest COS 18:36 PHX 19:21 11% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Phoenix on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → COS 06:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5291 · flown by SkyWest 2h 48m Denver DEN 09:53 → PHX 10:56UA 1782 5h 56m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → COS 10:23 → DEN 11:38UA 5400 · flown by SkyWest 3h 57m Denver DEN 15:35 → PHX 16:35UA 1254 7h 12m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → COS 07:05 → DEN 08:10UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest 3h 15m Denver DEN 11:25 → PHX 12:25UA 1686 6h 20m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest 2h 54m Denver DEN 13:27 → PHX 14:33UA 631 6h 13m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → COS 08:01 → DFW 10:56AA 782 2h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:27 → PHX 14:11AA 1548 7h 10m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → COS 10:19 → DFW 13:13AA 1552 3h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:32 → PHX 17:15AA 1232 7h 56m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → COS 12:06 → IAH 15:35UA 4030 · flown by Mesa 1h 19m Houston IAH 16:54 → PHX 17:54UA 1478 6h 48m 85% 73%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON