Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 117 SkyWest	COS 08:07	SLC 09:53	4%	3%	0.5%	no record
DL 4449 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	COS 18:16	SLC 20:09	5%	2%	0.6%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	COS 06:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5291 · flown by SkyWest	55m Denver	DEN 08:00 → SLC 09:37UA 497	3h 37m	96%	89%
United Details →	COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest	2h 45m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	5h 37m	98%	88%
United Details →	COS 07:05 → DEN 08:10UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest	3h 30m Denver	DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963	6h 08m	100%	88%
United Details →	COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest	3h 07m Denver	DEN 13:40 → SLC 15:13UA 1840	5h 53m	98%	84%
American Details →	COS 16:10 → DFW 19:14AA 1170	2h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:46 → SLC 23:31AA 2507	7h 21m	94%	69%
American Details →	COS 10:19 → DFW 13:13AA 1552	58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:11 → SLC 16:05AA 1456	5h 46m	83%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON