Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2776 at 12:16, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2776 Delta Flight history →	CVG 12:16	FLL 14:51	12%	4%	0.8%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 49m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752	1h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673	7h 16m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	6h 11m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	CVG 08:15 → ATL 09:45DL 3076	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	6h 12m	100%	86%
United Details →	CVG 07:04 → IAH 08:27UA 2442	3h 37m Houston	IAH 12:04 → FLL 15:47UA 1982	8h 43m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	CVG 10:05 → ATL 11:35DL 963	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413	5h 36m	99%	84%
American Details →	CVG 06:00 → DFW 07:32AA 3157	2h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:30 → FLL 14:39AA 1390	8h 39m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	CVG 17:48 → ATL 19:30DL 1008	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	6h 51m	98%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CVG 18:29 → DTW 19:50DL 5071 · flown by Endeavor	54m Detroit	DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296	5h 13m	70%	55%
United Details →	CVG 16:12 → ORD 16:52UA 4171 · flown by GoJet	54m Chicago	ORD 17:46 → FLL 21:43UA 463	5h 31m	71%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON