Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day


DL 5400 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CVG 13:31	RDU 15:02	17%	7%	0.7%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Raleigh/Durham on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 10:02 → RDU 11:35DL 2052	6h 01m	100%	95%
Delta Details →	CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 11:12 → RDU 12:42DL 1488	5h 33m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	CVG 08:15 → ATL 09:45DL 3076	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 13:05 → RDU 14:30DL 2026	6h 15m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	CVG 10:05 → ATL 11:35DL 963	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 14:52 → RDU 16:20DL 1550	6h 15m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:19 → DTW 07:36DL 5307 · flown by Endeavor	2h 39m Detroit	DTW 10:15 → RDU 11:57DL 2164	5h 38m	98%	93%
American Details →	CVG 06:00 → ORD 06:32AA 4094 · flown by Envoy	1h 46m Chicago	ORD 08:18 → RDU 11:38AA 4354 · flown by Republic	5h 38m	97%	93%
United Details →	CVG 07:00 → ORD 07:34UA 2752	3h 14m Chicago	ORD 10:48 → RDU 14:01UA 2616	7h 01m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752	3h 16m Minneapolis	MSP 10:21 → RDU 13:51DL 2521	7h 42m	99%	92%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON