Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, G4 361 at 14:58, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


G4 361 Allegiant Flight history →	CVG 14:58	VPS 15:50	7%	3%	0.7%	94%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Valparaiso on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Hebron). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 10:43 → VPS 11:01DL 2048	6h 27m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	CVG 10:05 → ATL 11:35DL 963	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 13:50 → VPS 14:00DL 2832	4h 55m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	CVG 18:26 → ATL 20:06DL 1008	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 23:15 → VPS 23:29DL 3097	6h 03m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	CVG 13:29 → ATL 15:04DL 3149	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 18:28 → VPS 18:42DL 2803	6h 13m	99%	90%
American Details →	CVG 06:00 → DFW 07:32AA 3157	1h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:30 → VPS 11:28AA 2460	6h 28m	98%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON