Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 1077 at 18:46, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1077 Southwest	DAL 18:46	OMA 20:32	13%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	2h 12m Houston	HOU 09:22 → OMA 11:41WN 3570	5h 41m	100%	95%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 40m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010	7h 50m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	DAL 12:00 → ATL 15:12DL 441	1h 13m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	5h 48m	96%	86%
Southwest Details →	DAL 17:01 → MDW 19:18WN 1327	58m Chicago	MDW 20:16 → OMA 21:45WN 4750	4h 44m	83%	73%
Southwest Details →	DAL 11:44 → LGA 16:17WN 1281	1h 27m New York	LGA 17:44 → OMA 19:43WN 3204	7h 59m	89%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON