Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2046 at 15:05, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2046 Southwest	DAL 15:05	PIT 18:49	15%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	5h 47m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351	7h 51m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DAL 12:00 → ATL 15:12DL 441	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 16:57 → PIT 18:49DL 3122	5h 49m	96%	85%
Southwest Details →	DAL 14:00 → HOU 15:15WN 31	3h 21m Houston	HOU 18:36 → PIT 22:35WN 1418	7h 35m	100%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON