Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 3102 at 09:21, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3102 Southwest	DAL 09:21	VPS 11:19	6%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Valparaiso on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:40 → ATL 09:51DL 516	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 13:50 → VPS 14:00DL 2832	7h 20m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	DAL 12:00 → ATL 15:11DL 441	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 18:28 → VPS 18:42DL 2803	6h 42m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	DAL 18:39 → ATL 22:00DL 2780	1h 15m Atlanta	ATL 23:15 → VPS 23:29DL 3097	4h 50m	94%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON