tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2475 American DCA 14:28 OKC 16:51 13% 4% 0.6% no record
WN 739 Southwest DCA 15:34 OKC 17:32 19% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Washington). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DCA 06:00 → ATL 07:41DL 410 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 11:04 → OKC 12:11DL 2020 7h 11m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → DCA 06:00 → CLT 07:34AA 1521 3h 07m Charlotte CLT 10:41 → OKC 12:20AA 1626 7h 20m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DCA 10:16 → ATL 12:06DL 926 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 7h 06m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → DCA 10:58 → IAH 13:19UA 2190 3h 16m Houston IAH 16:35 → OKC 18:15UA 6334 · flown by Mesa 8h 17m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → DCA 04:59 → DFW 07:02AA 2007 3h 40m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:42 → OKC 11:58AA 3099 7h 59m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → DCA 07:47 → ORD 09:05AA 2633 3h 10m Chicago ORD 12:15 → OKC 14:32AA 6337 · flown by SkyWest 7h 45m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → DCA 08:20 → IAH 10:41UA 697 3h 54m Houston IAH 14:35 → OKC 16:15UA 6189 · flown by Mesa 8h 55m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → DCA 06:00 → IAH 08:13UA 1450 1h 33m Houston IAH 09:46 → OKC 11:22UA 4344 · flown by CommuteAir 6h 22m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON