Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3801 Southwest	DEN 16:21	ALB 21:51	20%	5%	0.5%	no record
UA 1662 United Flight history →	DEN 17:42	ALB 23:30	23%	6%	0.5%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745	3h 38m Detroit	DTW 14:32 → ALB 16:15DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	8h 10m	99%	90%
American Details →	DEN 07:16 → ORD 11:00AA 2771	3h 50m Chicago	ORD 14:50 → ALB 18:00AA 4240 · flown by Envoy	8h 44m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 15:12 → ALB 17:42DL 1241	8h 27m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	7h 49m	99%	88%
United Details →	DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377	2h 29m Chicago	ORD 12:11 → ALB 15:12UA 2792	7h 12m	99%	87%
American Details →	DEN 12:31 → ORD 16:09AA 2363	3h 32m Chicago	ORD 19:41 → ALB 22:50AA 3420 · flown by Envoy	8h 19m	97%	87%
United Details →	DEN 07:46 → ORD 11:24UA 1928	3h 22m Chicago	ORD 14:46 → ALB 17:52UA 1634	8h 06m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 14:59 → DTW 19:49DL 1648	1h 56m Detroit	DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660	6h 22m	95%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON