Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, UA 1992 at 09:42, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 1992 United	DEN 09:42	AVL 14:42	11%	4%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Asheville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 13:53 → AVL 15:02DL 3099	7h 17m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 12:07 → ATL 17:09DL 995	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 20:28 → AVL 21:38DL 3116	7h 31m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 16:10 → AVL 17:20DL 3101	8h 05m	100%	82%
American Details →	DEN 11:02 → CLT 16:22AA 3299	3h 04m Charlotte	CLT 19:26 → AVL 20:20AA 6112 · flown by Piedmont	7h 18m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:35 → LGA 13:19DL 398	3h 18m New York	LGA 16:37 → AVL 18:29DL 4665 · flown by Endeavor	8h 54m	98%	79%
American Details →	DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573	1h 44m Charlotte	CLT 13:48 → AVL 14:44AA 5588 · flown by PSA	6h 03m	96%	78%
American Details →	DEN 06:13 → DFW 09:15AA 3285	3h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:43 → AVL 16:11AA 569	7h 58m	99%	74%
American Details →	DEN 12:39 → DFW 15:47AA 2359	3h 59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:46 → AVL 23:18AA 3267	8h 39m	99%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON