tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 337 United Flight history → DEN 11:20 MFR 13:05 12% 3% 0.6% 75%
UA 663 United Flight history → DEN 19:30 MFR 21:16 20% 4% 0.7% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Medford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Medford is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:40 → SLC 07:13DL 2544 3h 32m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → MFR 11:40DL 3806 · flown by SkyWest 7h 00m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → DEN 18:00 → SLC 19:33DL 1623 3h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 22:59 → MFR 23:54DL 3722 · flown by SkyWest 6h 54m 97% 93%
AlaskaDetails → DEN 16:36 → SEA 18:38AS 535 3h 55m Seattle SEA 22:33 → MFR 00:04 +1AS 2461 · flown by Horizon 8h 28m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → DEN 12:19 → PHX 13:22AA 2602 3h 12m Phoenix PHX 16:34 → MFR 19:13AA 6373 · flown by SkyWest 7h 54m 97% 82%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:21 → SFO 13:04UA 1561 3h 29m San Francisco SFO 16:33 → MFR 17:54UA 1001 7h 33m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:30 → SEA 08:26DL 1731 2h 49m Seattle SEA 11:15 → MFR 12:56DL 3779 · flown by SkyWest 7h 26m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → DEN 05:15 → SFO 06:53UA 2367 3h 44m San Francisco SFO 10:37 → MFR 12:04UA 2322 7h 49m 100% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543 54m Seattle SEA 21:35 → MFR 23:11DL 3954 · flown by SkyWest 5h 32m 71% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON