Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Newark, leaving 00:09, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	DEN 00:09 → EWR 05:42UA 1745	2h 03m Newark	EWR 07:45 → MYR 09:48UA 1067	7h 39m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	1h 04m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	5h 15m	98%	89%
United Details →	DEN 07:40 → EWR 13:27UA 2640	2h 59m Newark	EWR 16:26 → MYR 17:59UA 3589 · flown by Republic	8h 19m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:15 → ATL 18:16DL 706	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 22:14 → MYR 23:33DL 3074	8h 18m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:57 → ATL 12:56DL 995	3h 56m Atlanta	ATL 16:52 → MYR 18:12DL 1093	8h 15m	100%	87%
American Details →	DEN 11:02 → CLT 16:23AA 3299	3h 33m Charlotte	CLT 19:56 → MYR 21:04AA 1085	8h 02m	100%	81%
American Details →	DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573	3h 56m Charlotte	CLT 16:00 → MYR 17:11AA 2943	8h 30m	100%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON