tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, UA 372 at 10:08, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 372 United Flight history → DEN 10:08 PWM 16:10 11% 3% 0.5% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:09 → EWR 05:47UA 1745 1h 58m Newark EWR 07:45 → PWM 09:11UA 3665 · flown by Republic 7h 02m 99% 94%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:53 → IAD 19:22UA 347 2h 45m Dulles IAD 22:07 → PWM 00:05 +1UA 3459 · flown by Republic 8h 12m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745 3h 11m Detroit DTW 14:05 → PWM 16:01DL 1821 7h 56m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:35 → JFK 12:27DL 336 1h 29m New York JFK 13:56 → PWM 15:20DL 5399 · flown by Endeavor 6h 45m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → DEN 07:16 → ORD 11:00AA 2771 2h 03m Chicago ORD 13:03 → PWM 16:42AA 4741 · flown by Republic 7h 26m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → DEN 12:07 → ATL 17:09DL 995 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 20:35 → PWM 23:14DL 2138 9h 07m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → DEN 12:10 → JFK 18:25DL 532 3h 57m New York JFK 22:22 → PWM 23:46DL 5411 · flown by Endeavor 9h 36m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377 1h 18m Chicago ORD 11:00 → PWM 14:31UA 2804 6h 31m 98% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON