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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2601 United Flight history → DEN 09:35 RSW 15:22 11% 5% 0.8% 90%
UA 572 United DEN 16:18 RSW 22:09 18% 6% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → DEN 00:09 → EWR 05:47UA 1745 2h 03m Newark EWR 07:50 → RSW 10:53UA 1115 8h 44m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377 1h 23m Chicago ORD 11:05 → RSW 15:07UA 2137 7h 07m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 50m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → DEN 05:00 → IAH 08:32UA 320 1h 01m Houston IAH 09:33 → RSW 13:11UA 494 6h 11m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 8h 13m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745 3h 34m Detroit DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225 9h 17m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:00 → MSP 09:00DL 1129 3h 52m Minneapolis MSP 12:52 → RSW 17:19DL 2219 9h 19m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → DEN 09:35 → ORD 13:15UA 2329 3h 11m Chicago ORD 16:26 → RSW 20:34UA 2618 8h 59m 99% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON