tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 4765 SkyWest DEN 11:31 SHV 14:47 11% 3% 0.4% no record
OO 376 SkyWest DEN 17:47 SHV 21:02 15% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 05:00 → IAH 08:32UA 320 1h 21m Houston IAH 09:53 → SHV 11:08UA 4952 · flown by CommuteAir 5h 08m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest 8h 00m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 21:15 → SHV 22:04DL 4095 · flown by SkyWest 6h 54m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420 3h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:33 → SHV 22:42AA 4902 · flown by SkyWest 6h 31m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720 3h 13m Houston IAH 14:28 → SHV 15:41UA 5765 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → DEN 12:39 → DFW 15:47AA 2359 3h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:10 → SHV 20:19AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest 6h 40m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → DEN 10:38 → DFW 13:40AA 1756 3h 37m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:17 → SHV 18:26AA 6410 · flown by SkyWest 6h 48m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 1h 01m Houston IAH 16:10 → SHV 17:21UA 6026 · flown by SkyWest 4h 47m 88% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON