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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: American via O'Hare, leaving 08:24, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Albany on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → DFW 08:24 → ORD 10:58AA 328 3h 52m Chicago ORD 14:50 → ALB 18:00AA 4240 · flown by Envoy 8h 36m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839 1h 47m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → ALB 17:42DL 1241 6h 36m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:02 → CLT 08:37AA 1091 1h 51m Charlotte CLT 10:28 → ALB 12:37AA 710 6h 35m 98% 89%
AmericanDetails → DFW 13:10 → ORD 15:51AA 2988 3h 50m Chicago ORD 19:41 → ALB 22:50AA 3420 · flown by Envoy 8h 40m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183 1h 37m Detroit DTW 10:41 → ALB 12:24DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 6h 04m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → DFW 07:08 → ORD 09:50UA 1695 2h 21m Chicago ORD 12:11 → ALB 15:12UA 2792 7h 04m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → DFW 08:49 → CLT 12:29AA 317 1h 54m Charlotte CLT 14:23 → ALB 16:34AA 1075 6h 45m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → DFW 12:00 → ORD 14:42UA 1401 3h 53m Chicago ORD 18:35 → ALB 21:32UA 1382 8h 32m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON